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基于證據(jù)理論的溫室投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)效益評(píng)估專家系統(tǒng)
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國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目(30771259)、江蘇省科技支撐計(jì)劃資助項(xiàng)目(BE2010347)、江蘇省高?;A(chǔ)研究重大項(xiàng)目(08KJA210001)和江蘇大學(xué)人才啟動(dòng)基金資助項(xiàng)目(06JDG038)


Expert System for Investment Risk-benefit Assessment of Greenhouse Based on D-S Evidence Theory
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    摘要:

    通過(guò)建立溫室投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)效益評(píng)估指標(biāo)體系,利用修正層次分析法建立各因素之間的權(quán)重,采用D-S證據(jù)理論方法建立溫室投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)效益評(píng)估模型,并開(kāi)發(fā)溫室投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)效益評(píng)估專家系統(tǒng)。系統(tǒng)可通過(guò)不同專家進(jìn)行評(píng)估,再進(jìn)行溫室投資方案的綜合評(píng)估,為溫室投資者選擇合適的溫室結(jié)構(gòu)類型提供參考依據(jù)。

    Abstract:

    In order to analyze the risk-benefit assessment for greenhouse investment, risk-benefit assessment index system for greenhouse investment was established, and the weight of the factors was determined by using revised analytic hierarchy process. The riskbenefit assessment model of greenhouse investment was established based on D-S evidence theory. Expert system for risk-benefit assessment of greenhouse investment was developed. By means of the expert system, each expert can give the assessment for every program, and then the system assesses the risk-benefit comprehensively according to the ideas of each expert. The result can provide the basis for the investors to choose the proper greenhouse structure.

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王紀(jì)章,李冬生,李萍萍.基于證據(jù)理論的溫室投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)效益評(píng)估專家系統(tǒng)[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2011,42(5):203-207. Wang Jizhang. Expert System for Investment Risk-benefit Assessment of Greenhouse Based on D-S Evidence Theory[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2011,42(5):203-207.

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