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FAO Penman—Monteith及簡化方法在西北適用性研究
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國家高技術(shù)研究發(fā)展計劃(863計劃)項目(2011AA100504)、教育部高等學(xué)校創(chuàng)新引智計劃(111計劃)項目(B12007)和江西省水利廳科技項目(KT201540)


Applicability of FAO Penman—Monteith and Alternative Methods for Estimating Reference Evapotranspiration in Northwest China
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    摘要:

    為了實現(xiàn)氣象資料缺失下參考作物蒸發(fā)蒸騰量(ET0)在西北地區(qū)的高精度預(yù)測,采用FAO 56 Penman—Monteith(P—M)公式作為對照,與氣象資料缺失下P—M公式8種情況以及Pristley—Taylor(P—T)法、Makkink 法、Hargreaves—Samani(H—S)法、Irmak法對西北5省區(qū)30個輻射站的逐日氣象資料進行了統(tǒng)計比較,并對P—T法、Makkink法、H—S法、Irmak法重新進行了參數(shù)率定。結(jié)果表明,氣象資料缺失時,總輻射資料缺失精度下降最小,基于日照資料的ngstrm—Presscott(A—P)法是該地區(qū)適宜的替代方法, 其各站平均R2為0.983、RMSE小于0.4mm/d。當(dāng)相對濕度、風(fēng)速或日照時數(shù)有一項缺失時,使用FAO推薦的P—M替代方法可以使多年平均ET0的RMSE小于0.47mm/d,R2保持在0.94以上。當(dāng)氣象要素缺少風(fēng)速和相對濕度時,使用率定后Makkink法是該地區(qū)適宜的替代選擇,其RMSE為0.68mm/d,R2為0.94,當(dāng)僅有氣溫資料時,改進后的H—S法是該地區(qū)適宜的替代選擇,其RMSE為0.68mm/d,R2為0.94。P—T法在該地區(qū)精度低于Makkink法,其RMSE為0.71mm/d,R2為0.88,30個站參數(shù)值率定后α值介于1.02~1.64之間。

    Abstract:

    In order to implement the high precision of predicting reference evapotranspiration (ET0) when the meteorological information was not complete in northwest of China, FAO Penman—Monteith (P—M) formula was selected as control, 15 alternative methods were compared in Northwest China, including P—M formula with one to three factors of global solar radiation, sunshine hours duration, relative humidity, wind speed were missing, Pristley—Taylor(P—T)method, Makkink method, Hargreaves—Samani (H—S)method and Irmak method. At last, parameters of P—T method, H—S method, Makkink method and Irmak method were recalibrated. The results showed that global solar radiation data missing had the minimum impact on estimating ET0 with average R2 of 0.983 for all stations and the root mean square error (RMSE) was less than 0.4mm/d. When one of sunshine hour duration, wind speed or relative humidity data was missing, applying the FAO recommended P—M alternative methods could control RMSE within 0.47mm/d, R2 stayed above 0.94. When wind speed and relative humidity data were missing, Makkink method was the best method, the RMSE was 0.68mm/d and R2 was 0.94. When there was only temperature data, the improved Irmak and improved H—S methods had the same precisions with RMSE of 0.63mm/d and 0.68mm/d, the R2 were 0.94 and 0.95, respectively. In addition, the parameters of P—T, Makkink, H—S and Irmak methods were recalibrated for the Kriging interpolation, to obtain the spatial distribution of parameters. The required values of parameters for these methods can be got through the figures.

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吳立峰,白樺,張富倉,魯向暉,王莢文,劉惠英. FAO Penman—Monteith及簡化方法在西北適用性研究[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機械學(xué)報,2016,47(12):139-151. Wu Lifeng, Bai Hua, Zhang Fucang, Lu Xianghui, Wang Jiawen, Liu Huiying. Applicability of FAO Penman—Monteith and Alternative Methods for Estimating Reference Evapotranspiration in Northwest China[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2016,47(12):139-151.

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  • 收稿日期:2016-03-30
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2016-12-10
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