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氣候變化與人類活動(dòng)對(duì)地下水埋深變化的影響
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水利部公益性行業(yè)科研專項(xiàng)(201501031)、國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(51339002、51569019、51669021、51509133)和內(nèi)蒙古農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)優(yōu)秀青年基金項(xiàng)目(2014XYQ-10)


Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Changes of Groundwater Level
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    摘要:

    以通遼市科爾沁區(qū)為研究區(qū),利用累積距平、M-K突變檢驗(yàn)和累積量斜率變化率比較法,對(duì)降水量變化與地下水埋深變化進(jìn)行突變檢驗(yàn),定量評(píng)估研究區(qū)氣候變化與人類活動(dòng)對(duì)地下水埋深變化的貢獻(xiàn)度。結(jié)果表明:地下水埋深多年來呈顯著上升趨勢(shì),降水對(duì)地下水埋深動(dòng)態(tài)變化的影響存在明顯的滯后現(xiàn)象,滯后期為3a;研究區(qū)地下水埋深與降水量突變點(diǎn)為1998年,前期1980—1998年為基準(zhǔn)期,后期1999—2016年為影響期;研究區(qū)氣候變化對(duì)地下水埋深變化影響的貢獻(xiàn)度為24.5%,人類活動(dòng)對(duì)地下水埋深變化影響的貢獻(xiàn)度為75.5%,人類活動(dòng)是造成地下水埋深下降的主要原因。

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    In recent years, there has been a substantial change for groundwater dynamic change in northern of China, and the level of groundwater in many cities overall decline. The West Liao river plain area in Tongliao City, Inner Mongolia, is a typical ecotone between agriculture and animal husbandry, and the major water source of it is groundwater. Therefore, it is significant to study the groundwater dynamic state and its causes for reasonable exploitation and utilization of water resources and ecological environment management. The Horqin District of Tongliao City was selected as the research area. Based on the relationship between dynamic variation of groundwater, precipitation and groundwater exploitation,by using the comparison method of regression analysis, M-K mutation testing, accumulative anomaly method and accumulation slope change rate, the rate of different impact contribution for the vary of groundwater dynamic was quantitatively separated, and the driving factors also were quantitatively analyzed. The results showed that there was a significant upward trend for the groundwater depth over the years. Besides, precipitation showed clear hysteresis phenomenon for groundwater dynamic changes, and the delay period was three years. The abrupt change year of groundwater and precipitation in the study area is 1998. The contribution of climate change to the dynamic variation of groundwater in the study area was 24.5%, and the contribution of human activities to the dynamic variation of groundwater was 75.5%. The change of groundwater dynamic state was mainly caused by the human activity. The results of this research would have important practical significance for rational exploitation and utilization of water resources and ecological environment management.

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朱永華,張生,趙勝男,孫標(biāo),劉禹,張穎.氣候變化與人類活動(dòng)對(duì)地下水埋深變化的影響[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2017,48(9):199-205. ZHU Yonghua, ZHANG Sheng, ZHAO Shengnan, SUN Biao, LIU Yu, ZHANG Ying. Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Changes of Groundwater Level[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2017,48(9):199-205.

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  • 收稿日期:2017-05-04
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2017-09-10
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