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水資源監(jiān)測異常數(shù)據(jù)模態(tài)分解-支持向量機重構方法
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國家自然科學基金委員會-廣東聯(lián)合基金項目(U1501253)和廣東省省級科技計劃項目(2016B010127005)


Methods of Abnormal Data Detection and Recovery for Water Resources Monitoring Based on EEMD and PSO-LSSVM
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    摘要:

    完備真實的水資源監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù)是支撐數(shù)據(jù)分析與決策的基本前提。在梳理現(xiàn)階段水資源監(jiān)測異常數(shù)據(jù)的基礎上,提出運用移動平均擬合初篩來直觀辨識異常監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù),進而選取集合模態(tài)分解對非可直觀辨識異常監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù)進行挖掘的方法。將剔除異常監(jiān)測值后的時序數(shù)據(jù)作為基于粒子群優(yōu)化最小二乘支持向量機模型的模擬樣本,并利用其恢復所剔除的異常監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù)。對水務公司日取水量監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù)的實證分析結果表明,通過移動平均擬合與模態(tài)分解可較大限度地保留含有異常數(shù)據(jù)的特征向量并實現(xiàn)數(shù)據(jù)的有效重構,相比傳統(tǒng)的統(tǒng)計方法其具有更好的適用性;運用粒子群優(yōu)化的最小二乘支持向量機可進一步提高對剔除異常值數(shù)據(jù)的擬合效果,且符合水資源監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù)的季節(jié)波動規(guī)律特征及對實際取用水狀態(tài)的客觀反映,據(jù)此可相對合理地達到恢復所剔除異常監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù)的目的。

    Abstract:

    The national water resources monitoring capacity building project which started in 2012 in China is an important way to improve the level of water conservancy information. It requires that the historical time-series monitoring data of water resources should be complete and reliable so that it can be used to support data analysis and decision making. The basic scenarios for monitoring abnormal data were summed up and a comprehensive model was proposed, aiming at abnormal data detection and recovery. Moving average fitting and ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method were introduced to identify both observable and non-observable abnormal monitoring data. The particle swarm optimization based least squares support vector machine (PSO-LSSVM) was then adopted for abnormal data recovery and imputation. All above methods were tested with the daily water consumption monitoring data of water company. Results showed that the feature vector that contained exception data could be well preserved by moving average fitting and EEDM method and the effective reconstruction of water monitoring data was achieved, exhibiting better applicability than traditional statistical methods. Moreover, it can be observed that the PSO-LSSVM model had the ability to further improve the fitting results of the time-series data that excluded outliers. The fitted curve conformed to the seasonal fluctuation rule and it was consistent with the actual state of water demand. Accordingly, the objective of recovering the excluded data exception could be achieved reasonably by using this method. Furthermore, these methods can be applied to the analysis of monitoring data in other areas.

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張峰,薛惠鋒,WANG Wei,宋曉娜,萬毅.水資源監(jiān)測異常數(shù)據(jù)模態(tài)分解-支持向量機重構方法[J].農業(yè)機械學報,2017,48(11):316-323. ZHANG Feng, XUE Huifeng, WANG Wei, SONG Xiaona, WAN Yi. Methods of Abnormal Data Detection and Recovery for Water Resources Monitoring Based on EEMD and PSO-LSSVM[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2017,48(11):316-323.

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  • 收稿日期:2017-08-15
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2017-11-10
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