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氣候變化對(duì)黑龍江省生育期內(nèi)玉米產(chǎn)量的影響
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黑龍江省博士后面上資助經(jīng)費(fèi)項(xiàng)目(LBH-Z18264)和東北農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部農(nóng)業(yè)水資源高效利用重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室開放項(xiàng)目(2015001、2015003)


Effect of Climate Change on Maize Yield in Maize Growth Period in Heilongjiang Province
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    摘要:

    以玉米為研究對(duì)象,基于黑龍江省長(zhǎng)時(shí)間的氣象站點(diǎn)觀測(cè)數(shù)據(jù),結(jié)合標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化降水蒸散發(fā)指數(shù)(SPEI),研究黑龍江省玉米生長(zhǎng)季內(nèi)降水、氣溫、區(qū)域干濕變化特征及對(duì)玉米產(chǎn)量的影響。結(jié)果表明:黑龍江省降水變化趨勢(shì)不顯著,但最高氣溫、平均氣溫和最低氣溫變化趨勢(shì)顯著。濕潤(rùn)化的趨勢(shì)主要集中在黑龍江省西北部和東南部,干旱化趨勢(shì)主要集中在黑龍江省自東向西大部分地區(qū)。玉米的氣象產(chǎn)量主要受SPEI3-8影響,氣溫是影響黑龍江省生育期內(nèi)玉米產(chǎn)量的主要因素。研究結(jié)果可為區(qū)域水資源合理規(guī)劃和優(yōu)化農(nóng)業(yè)種植結(jié)構(gòu)提供參考。

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    Agriculture is directly related to human survival. The stability and sustainability of agricultural yields is the key to agricultural development. Climate factors not only provide material and energy basis for crops, but also restrict the effective implementation of agricultural technology. Taking maize as the main research object, based on the longterm meteorological observation data in Heilongjiang Province, the MannKendall analysis method was used to calculate the variation trend of precipitation and temperature in maize growth stage. The variation characteristics of precipitation and temperature (maximum, average and minimum temperatures) in maize growing season were revealed. And the principal component analysis (PCA) was combined with the standardized precipitation evaporation index (SPEI), the characteristics of regional drywet changes in the corn growing season of Heilongjiang Province were revealed. The results indicated that the changing trend of precipitation in Heilongjiang Province was not significant, but the changing trend of maximum temperature, average temperature and minimum temperature was significant. The changing trend of wetting was mainly concentrated in the northwest and southeast of Heilongjiang Province. The changing trend of drought was mainly concentrated in most areas of Heilongjiang Province from east to west. The meteorological production of maize was mainly affected by SPEI3-8. Dry and wet conditions SPEI3-8 in June-August were the main factors affecting maize yield. Compared with precipitation, temperature was the main factor affecting the yield of maize in the growth period of Heilongjiang Province. It provided reference for rational planning of regional water resources and optimizing agricultural planting structure.

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戚穎,白雪峰,李鐵男.氣候變化對(duì)黑龍江省生育期內(nèi)玉米產(chǎn)量的影響[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2019,50(9):254-263. QI Ying, BAI Xuefeng, LI Tienan. Effect of Climate Change on Maize Yield in Maize Growth Period in Heilongjiang Province[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2019,50(9):254-263.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-03-21
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2019-09-10
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