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基于不同有效積溫的玉米干物質(zhì)累積量模擬
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國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(51979286、51679254)和國(guó)家重點(diǎn)研發(fā)計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(2016YFC0400101)


Simulation of Maize Dry Matter Accumulation in Normalized Logistic Model with Different Effective Accumulated Temperatures in Field
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    為獲得研究區(qū)適宜的玉米干物質(zhì)累積量(DM)估算模型,通過(guò)2017—2019年在吉林省長(zhǎng)春地區(qū)開展的3年農(nóng)田試驗(yàn),觀測(cè)玉米生育期內(nèi)作物根區(qū)20cm地溫、40cm地溫、農(nóng)田氣溫、作物冠層溫度以及玉米地上部干物質(zhì)累積量等數(shù)據(jù),建立基于不同有效積溫的Logistic模型及其歸一化模型,并用實(shí)測(cè)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行模型驗(yàn)證。結(jié)果表明,基于有效積溫建立的Logistic模型可以模擬單株玉米干物質(zhì)累積量生長(zhǎng),但不同地點(diǎn)、不同年份所建立的模型參數(shù)差異較大;Logistic歸一化模型能夠很好地模擬區(qū)域玉米干物質(zhì)增長(zhǎng),在利用實(shí)測(cè)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行模型驗(yàn)證中,基于作物根區(qū)20cm地溫、40cm地溫、農(nóng)田氣溫和作物冠層溫度4種類型有效積溫的Logistic歸一化模型,其均方根誤差、相對(duì)誤差、決定系數(shù)和模型一致性系數(shù)都能達(dá)到較優(yōu)值;以2019年數(shù)據(jù)建立的Logistic歸一化模型對(duì)玉米干物質(zhì)累積量模擬效果最優(yōu);基于有效冠層積溫的Logistic歸一化模型模擬效果較優(yōu)。本研究結(jié)果可為灌區(qū)精量灌溉決策和管理提供技術(shù)支撐。

    Abstract:

    Dry matter accumulation (DM) and yield assessment are the key issues of maize production management and market of silage and deep processing. A three-year experiment (2017—2019) was carried out in maize fields of Changchun, Jilin Province, monitoring soil temperature (20cm and 40cm) in root zone, air temperature, canopy temperature and dry matter accumulation in maize growth stages. The Logistic model and the normalized Logistic model were established based on different effective accumulated temperatures with the observation in each year, separately. Then the validations of each normalized Logistic model were implemented by the observations in the others two years. Results showed that the Logistic models were varied in parameters with the data in different locations and years, based on the four effective accumulated temperatures (soil temperature at 20cm and 40cm, air temperature and crop canopy temperature) to simulate dry matter of single maize. However, the normalized Logistic model made a good performance in simulating maize dry matter accumulation under the normalized method. The statistical parameters of root mean square error, relative error, the coefficient of determination, and the index of model agreement reached good values between the simulation and observation. Especially for the normalized Logistic model in 2019, it was run better in the validation of 2017 and 2018. At the same time, the simulations effect was better in effective accumulated canopy temperature of normalized Logistic model. Thus it can be seen that the crop canopy temperature would be more available in regional irrigation management with its scale extension. These research results could support the precision irrigation system and management in irrigation district.

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蔡甲冰,常宏芳,陳鶴,張寶忠,魏征,彭致功.基于不同有效積溫的玉米干物質(zhì)累積量模擬[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2020,51(5):263-271. CAI Jiabing, CHANG Hongfang, CHEN He, ZHANG Baozhong, WEI Zheng, PENG Zhigong. Simulation of Maize Dry Matter Accumulation in Normalized Logistic Model with Different Effective Accumulated Temperatures in Field[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2020,51(5):263-271.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-12-30
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2020-05-10
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