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作物生長(zhǎng)模型研究現(xiàn)狀與展望
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國(guó)家重點(diǎn)研發(fā)計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(2022YFD2001102)、廣西科技重大專項(xiàng)(2022AA01030)、國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(41871261)和雪川農(nóng)業(yè)科研專項(xiàng)(E1H2053802)


Progress and Perspective of Crop Growth Models
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    摘要:

    作物生長(zhǎng)模型由最初的作物生長(zhǎng)發(fā)育模型發(fā)展到農(nóng)業(yè)決策支持模型,在科學(xué)研究、農(nóng)業(yè)管理、政策制定等方面發(fā)揮著越來(lái)越重要的作用。本文首先回顧了作物生長(zhǎng)模型的發(fā)展過(guò)程,并按照模型主要驅(qū)動(dòng)因子,將作物生長(zhǎng)模型分為土壤因子、光合作用因子和人為因子驅(qū)動(dòng)3類并分別進(jìn)行了歸納闡述;然后對(duì)典型的模型分別從模型模塊、時(shí)空尺度、可模擬的作物類型等方面進(jìn)行列表式對(duì)比;并對(duì)作物生長(zhǎng)模型在氣候變化評(píng)估、生產(chǎn)管理決策支持、資源管理優(yōu)化等方面的應(yīng)用,以及面臨的極端條件、復(fù)雜農(nóng)業(yè)景觀和模型復(fù)雜度等挑戰(zhàn)進(jìn)行了總結(jié),在此基礎(chǔ)上認(rèn)為遙感數(shù)據(jù)同化和孿生農(nóng)場(chǎng)是其發(fā)展方向。

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    Crop growth models have evolved from initial crop development models to agricultural decision support models, playing an increasingly important role in scientific research, agricultural management, and policy-making. In the paper the development process of crop growth models was firstly reviewed. Based on the main driving factors, the models were categorized into three types: soil factors, photosynthetic factors, and human factors, and comprehensive introductions to each category were provided. Then a comparative analysis of typical models was presented from ten aspects, including model modules, spatiotemporal scales, and range of crop types that can be simulated. Furthermore, the applications of crop growth models in climate change assessment, production management decision support, and resource management optimization were discussed. The challenges faced by these models were also highlighted, such as extreme conditions, complex agricultural landscapes, and model complexity. Based on the comprehensive discussions, two promising directions for the future development of crop growth models were identified: remote sensing data assimilation and twin farming. Remote sensing data assimilation techniques have the potential to significantly enhance the spatial range and accuracy of the simulations, providing more precise information for agriculture. Twin farming, on the other hand, offers virtual replicas of actual farming systems, enabling comprehensive analysis and optimization of crop growth. These research findings provide valuable insights for selecting and improving crop growth models, driving advancements in this field.

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蒙繼華,王亞楠,林圳鑫,方慧婷.作物生長(zhǎng)模型研究現(xiàn)狀與展望[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2024,55(2):1-15,27. MENG Jihua, WANG Ya’nan, LIN Zhenxin, FANG Huiting. Progress and Perspective of Crop Growth Models[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2024,55(2):1-15,27.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-05-29
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2024-02-10
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