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四川省能源和糧食生產(chǎn)用水競爭及與經(jīng)濟(jì)關(guān)系研究
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聯(lián)合國教科文組織項(xiàng)目(4500469020)和四川省水利廳部門協(xié)作科研項(xiàng)目(SKY-2020-SJZX-16)


Water Competition and Economic Relationship between Energy and Food Production in Sichuan Province
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    摘要:

    水-能源-糧食系統(tǒng)存在相互依存、相互制約的復(fù)雜關(guān)系,量化該系統(tǒng)的相互關(guān)系,對于合理配置和協(xié)調(diào)利用水、能源和糧食資源,促進(jìn)區(qū)域社會經(jīng)濟(jì)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展具有重要意義。本文運(yùn)用能源和糧食生產(chǎn)水足跡模型、競爭指數(shù)模型、脫鉤理論及錫爾指數(shù)等方法,核算分析了四川省2009—2019年能源和糧食生產(chǎn)水足跡及其時空變化特征,以及能源和糧食生產(chǎn)對水的競爭關(guān)系,探究了水足跡和地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值的內(nèi)在聯(lián)系。研究結(jié)果表明:能源和糧食生產(chǎn)水足跡均呈上升趨勢。能源生產(chǎn)藍(lán)水足跡年均值為5.45×109m3,占能源生產(chǎn)水足跡的93.76%;糧食生產(chǎn)藍(lán)水足跡年均值為1.06×1010m3,占糧食生產(chǎn)水足跡的26.02%,綠水足跡的貢獻(xiàn)率超過藍(lán)水足跡和灰水足跡之和,占比53.06%。四川省能源和糧食生產(chǎn)對水的競爭指數(shù)呈上升趨勢,增幅為42.69%。由于川西北生態(tài)示范區(qū)和攀西經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)等地區(qū)兼顧糧食和水電生產(chǎn),其競爭指數(shù)明顯高于其他地區(qū)。四川省水足跡和地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值的脫鉤關(guān)系為弱脫鉤,處于相對協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展?fàn)顟B(tài),說明經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展對用水量的控制狀態(tài)相對較好;水足跡強(qiáng)度總差異呈擴(kuò)張趨勢,說明四川省用水效率不均衡性逐漸擴(kuò)大,但研究后期有所下降,發(fā)展逐漸趨同。該研究可為四川省水資源調(diào)配、能源開發(fā)和糧食生產(chǎn)提供建議,也可為該地區(qū)優(yōu)化經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式以及用水效率的協(xié)同發(fā)展提供參考。

    Abstract:

    There is a complex relationship of interdependence and mutual constraint in the water-energy-food system, and quantifying the interrelationships of the water-energy-food system is of great significance for the rational allocation and coordinated utilization of water, energy and food resources, as well as for promoting sustainable socio-economic development in the region. The models of energy and food production water footprint, competition index, decoupling theory and Theil index were applied to calculate and analyze the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of the water footprint of energy and food production in Sichuan Province from 2009 to 2019. It also explored the competition relationship between energy and food production for water and investigated the inherent connection between water footprint and gross domestic product (GDP). The research findings were as follows: both the water footprint of food production and the water footprint of energy production showed an increasing trend. The annual average blue water footprint of energy production was 5.45×109m3, accounting for 93.76% of the water footprint of energy production. The annual average blue water footprint of food production was 1.06×1010m3, accounting for 26.02% of the water footprint of food production, and the contribution of the green water footprint exceeded the sum of blue water footprint and grey water footprint, accounting for 53.06%. The competition index of water for energy and food production in Sichuan Province was on the rise, with an increase of 42.69%. Due to the consideration of both food and hydropower production in areas such as the Ecological Demonstration Zone in Northwest Sichuan and the Panxi Economic Zone, their competition index was significantly higher than that in other areas. The decoupling relationship between the water footprint and GDP of Sichuan Province was weakly decoupling and in a state of relatively coordinated development, indicating that economic development had a relatively good state of control over water consumption. The total difference in water footprint intensity showed an expanding trend, indicating that the unevenness of water use efficiency in Sichuan Province was gradually expanding, but it declined in the later period of the study, with a gradual convergence of development. The research result can provide suggestions for water resource allocation, energy development and food production in Sichuan Province, as well as for optimizing the economic development approach and the coordinated development of water use efficiency.

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康銀紅,賀帥,王嘉馳,倪鐵峰,王君勤.四川省能源和糧食生產(chǎn)用水競爭及與經(jīng)濟(jì)關(guān)系研究[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報,2024,55(3):300-310. KANG Yinhong, HE Shuai, WANG Jiachi, NI Tiefeng, WANG Junqin. Water Competition and Economic Relationship between Energy and Food Production in Sichuan Province[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2024,55(3):300-310.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-07-12
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2023-11-13
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